Over 1.5 goals@1.51
Over 1.5
66%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 7Monday, 12 October 2026 · Benfica Campus
Benfica B
4th · 17 pts1–0FULL TIME
Felgueiras 1932
17th · 7 pts55% Benfica
26% Draw
19% Felgueiras
OUR PICK
Benfica B to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.82
Expected goals
1.51 – 0.77
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.82X3.8425.24
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.66
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.72
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.72
NG
58%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
Benfica BFelgueiras 19321.2Goals per game1.0
0.7Conceded per game1.3
1.89Points per game0.78
56%Win rate11%
5Goal difference-3
10Form, last 5 (pts)1
Benfica B form
WDWWLH Chaves3–1
A Feirense0–0
H Felgueiras 19321–0
A Academica0–3
H Torreense0–2
Felgueiras 1932 form
LDWLWA Tondela3–2
H Lusitânia Lourosa2–2
H Fafe1–0
A Benfica B1–0
A Naval 18930–2
Head to head
3
Benfica
1
Draw
1
Felgueiras
Oct 2026Benfica B – Felgueiras 19321–0
Feb 2026Benfica B – Felgueiras 19324–2
Sept 2025Felgueiras 1932 – Benfica B2–1
May 2025Felgueiras 1932 – Benfica B3–3
Dec 2024Benfica B – Felgueiras 19322–0
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Penafiel9+1119
3Lusitânia Lourosa9+719
4Benfica B9+517
5Farense9+415
6Academica9+315
7Tondela9+215
8Vizela9+114
9União de Leiria9+214
10AVS9+112
Match preview
Our model makes Benfica B clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.82 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.51 for Benfica B, 0.77 for Felgueiras 1932), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Benfica B sit 4th on 17 points; Felgueiras 1932 are 17th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.