Over 1.5 goals@1.50
Over 1.5
67%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 9Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Caixa Futebol Campus
Benfica B
3rd · 17 pts3–1FULL TIME
Chaves
15th · 8 pts61% Benfica
24% Draw
14% Chaves
OUR PICK
Benfica B to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.63
Expected goals
1.64 – 0.65
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.63X4.1426.90
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.67
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.67
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.63
NG
61%
Double chance@1.17
1X
86%
Season stats
Benfica BChaves1.2Goals per game1.0
0.7Conceded per game2.0
1.89Points per game0.89
56%Win rate22%
5Goal difference-9
10Form, last 5 (pts)7
Benfica B form
No recent matches.
Chaves form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Benfica
0
Draw
0
Chaves
These sides haven't met recently.
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa8+718
3Benfica B9+517
4Penafiel8+1016
5Academica8+415
6Farense8+414
7União de Leiria9+214
8AVS9+112
9Tondela8+112
10Portimonense9-411
Match preview
Our model makes Benfica B clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.63 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.64 for Benfica B, 0.65 for Chaves), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Benfica B sit 3rd on 17 points; Chaves are 15th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.