Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
ITASerie B · Matchday 7Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Stadio Ciro Vigorito
Benevento
6th · 15 pts2–2FULL TIME
Vicenza Virtus
17th · 9 pts64% Benevento
21% Draw
15% Vicenza
OUR PICK
Benevento to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.86
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.55X4.8726.61
Goals 2.5Over1.82Under2.10
Both scoreGG2.00NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@2.00
GG
50%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Season stats
BeneventoVicenza Virtus1.4Goals per game1.3
1.0Conceded per game2.0
1.50Points per game0.90
40%Win rate20%
4Goal difference-7
8Form, last 5 (pts)4
Benevento form
LDWDWA Cremonese2–0
H Catanzaro1–1
A Arezzo0–3
H Vicenza Virtus2–2
H Cesena2–0
Vicenza Virtus form
LLWDLA Palermo3–1
H Modena1–2
A Empoli0–2
A Benevento2–2
H Pisa0–3
Head to head
3
Benevento
2
Draw
0
Vicenza
Oct 2026Benevento – Vicenza Virtus2–2
May 2026Vicenza Virtus – Benevento1–4
Apr 2022Benevento – Vicenza Virtus1–0
Nov 2021Vicenza Virtus – Benevento2–3
Apr 2017Benevento – Vicenza Virtus0–0
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Benevento clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (2.02 for Benevento, 0.86 for Vicenza Virtus), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Benevento sit 6th on 15 points; Vicenza Virtus are 17th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.