Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
72%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 4Wednesday, 7 October 2026
Ben Aknoun
11th · 8 pts2–2FULL TIME
JS El Biar
10th · 8 pts43% Ben
27% Draw
30% JS
OUR PICK
Ben Aknoun to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.12
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.31X3.7623.32
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.97
GG
51%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
Ben AknounJS El Biar1.1Goals per game1.5
1.1Conceded per game1.5
1.14Points per game1.00
14%Win rate25%
0Goal difference0
4Form, last 5 (pts)5
Ben Aknoun form
DDLA MB Rouisset1–1
A JS Saoura0–0
A Olympique Akbou2–1
JS El Biar form
LDWLA JS Kabylie1–0
H MC Oran0–0
A CS Constantine2–4
H CR Belouizdad2–3
Head to head
1
Ben
2
Draw
0
JS
Oct 2026Ben Aknoun – JS El Biar2–2
Jan 2025JS El Biar – Ben Aknoun0–1
Sept 2024Ben Aknoun – JS El Biar0–0
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1CR Belouizdad7+517
2JS Kabylie7+816
3MC Oran7+515
4USM Alger7+514
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8Témouchent8-39
9ES Setif7+28
10JS El Biar808
Match preview
Our model makes Ben Aknoun slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.40 for Ben Aknoun, 1.12 for JS El Biar), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ben Aknoun sit 11th on 8 points; JS El Biar are 10th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.