Over 1.5 goals@1.84
Over 1.5
54%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Belgrano Cordoba
0–3FULL TIME
River Plate
40% Belgrano
32% Draw
27% River
OUR PICK
Belgrano Cordoba to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.48
Expected goals
1.03 – 0.79
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.48X3.0923.66
Goals 2.5Over3.49Under1.38
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.54
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Under 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.54
NG
65%
Double chance@1.38
1X
73%
Belgrano Cordoba form
DLLWWH Barracas Central2–2
A Aldosivi1–0
H River Plate0–3
A Racing Club0–2
A Talleres Cordoba0–1
River Plate form
LWWDWA Boca Juniors1–0
H Racing Club1–0
A Belgrano Cordoba0–3
A Sarmiento Junin1–1
H Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–0
Head to head
1
Belgrano
0
Draw
4
River
Oct 2026Belgrano Cordoba – River Plate0–3
May 2026River Plate – Belgrano Cordoba2–3
Apr 2026River Plate – Belgrano Cordoba3–0
May 2024River Plate – Belgrano Cordoba3–0
Dec 2023River Plate – Belgrano Cordoba2–1
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Belgrano Cordoba slight favourites, giving them a 40% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.03 for Belgrano Cordoba, 0.79 for River Plate), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.