BELChallenger Pro League · Matchday 7Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Olympisch Stadion

Beerschot VA

1st · 24 pts

5–1FULL TIME

Liège

14th · 5 pts

77% Beerschot

14% Draw

9% Liège

OUR PICK

Beerschot VA to win

Model probability 77% · fair odds

1.30

Expected goals

2.80 – 0.89

Confidence

Very high

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.30X7.16210.80

Goals 2.5Over1.41Under3.25

Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.13

Over 1.5

88%

Over/Under 2.5@1.41

Over 2.5

71%

Both teams to score@1.81

55%

Double chance@1.10

91%

Season stats

Beerschot VALiège

2.6Goals per game1.4

0.8Conceded per game2.4

2.67Points per game0.56

89%Win rate11%

16Goal difference-9

15Form, last 5 (pts)1

Beerschot VA form

WWWWW

H Francs Borains3–0

A AS Eupen1–2

H Anderlecht2–1

H Liège5–1

A Crossing Schaerbeek3–5

Liège form

LLLLD

A Seraing United1–0

H Patro Eisden2–3

A RAAL La Louvière4–0

A Beerschot VA5–1

A Atert Bissen2–2

Head to head

Beerschot

Draw

Liège

Oct 2026Beerschot VA – Liège5–1

Mar 2026Liège – Beerschot VA0–1

Nov 2025Beerschot VA – Liège3–0

Oct 2024Beerschot VA – Liège3–1

Feb 2024Liège – Beerschot VA1–4

Challenger Pro League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Beerschot VA9+1624

2Dender8+919

3AS Eupen8+615

4Sporting Hasselt8-115

5Excelsior Virton8+413

6Lokeren-Temse8+213

7Patro Eisden9-112

8Francs Borains7-112

9KAA Gent II8-211

10Club Brugge II8-39

Match preview

Our model makes Beerschot VA clear favourites, giving them a 77% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.30 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.7 goals in total (2.80 for Beerschot VA, 0.89 for Liège), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Beerschot VA sit 1st on 24 points; Liège are 14th on 5.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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