Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Tupras Stadium
Beşiktaş
4th · 19 pts19:00KICK-OFF WAT
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
14th · 11 pts68% Beşiktaş
18% Draw
14% Gençlerbirliği
OUR PICK
Beşiktaş to win
Model probability 68% · fair odds
1.46
Expected goals
2.38 – 0.98
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.46X5.6327.19
Goals 2.5Over1.54Under2.70
Both scoreGG1.76NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Over 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.76
GG
57%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
BeşiktaşGençlerbirliği S.K.2.0Goals per game1.2
1.2Conceded per game1.8
1.90Points per game1.10
60%Win rate30%
8Goal difference-6
7Form, last 5 (pts)4
Beşiktaş form
DWDLWA Kasımpaşa2–2
H Başakşehir2–0
H Crystal Palace2–2
A Trabzonspor2–0
A 1899 Hoffenheim2–3
Gençlerbirliği S.K. form
WWLLDH Alanyaspor5–0
H Karaköprü Belediyespor5–0
A Konyaspor2–0
H Galatasaray0–1
H Amed2–2
Head to head
3
Beşiktaş
0
Draw
2
Gençlerbirliği
Mar 2026Gençlerbirliği S.K. – Beşiktaş0–2
Oct 2025Beşiktaş – Gençlerbirliği S.K.1–2
Jul 2024Beşiktaş – Gençlerbirliği S.K.2–0
Feb 2021Gençlerbirliği S.K. – Beşiktaş0–3
Oct 2020Beşiktaş – Gençlerbirliği S.K.0–1
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Beşiktaş clear favourites, giving them a 68% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.38 for Beşiktaş, 0.98 for Gençlerbirliği S.K.), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Beşiktaş sit 4th on 19 points; Gençlerbirliği S.K. are 14th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.