Over 1.5 goals@1.08
Over 1.5
92%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Tüpraş Stadium
Beşiktaş
8th · 7 pts2–2FULL TIME
Crystal Palace
15th · 4 pts52% Beşiktaş
19% Draw
29% Crystal
OUR PICK
Beşiktaş to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.92
Expected goals
2.43 – 1.79
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.92X5.1723.50
Goals 2.5Over1.26Under4.49
Both scoreGG1.32NG3.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.26
Over 2.5
79%
Both teams to score@1.32
GG
76%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
Season stats
BeşiktaşCrystal Palace3.0Goals per game2.7
1.7Conceded per game1.7
2.33Points per game1.33
67%Win rate33%
4Goal difference3
7Form, last 5 (pts)4
Beşiktaş form
DWDLWA Kasımpaşa2–2
H Başakşehir2–0
H Crystal Palace2–2
A Trabzonspor2–0
A 1899 Hoffenheim2–3
Crystal Palace form
LWLDLA Tottenham2–0
A Fulham0–1
H Newcastle0–2
A Beşiktaş2–2
A Brighton5–0
Head to head
0
Beşiktaş
1
Draw
0
Crystal
Oct 2026Beşiktaş – Crystal Palace2–2
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model makes Beşiktaş slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.92 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.2 goals in total (2.43 for Beşiktaş, 1.79 for Crystal Palace), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Beşiktaş sit 8th on 7 points; Crystal Palace are 15th on 4.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.