Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 9Monday, 26 October 2026 · Tupras Stadium
Beşiktaş
4th · 19 pts2–0FULL TIME
Başakşehir
10th · 14 pts53% Beşiktaş
21% Draw
26% Başakşehir
OUR PICK
Beşiktaş to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.90
Expected goals
2.12 – 1.46
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.90X4.7823.79
Goals 2.5Over1.44Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.48NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.48
GG
68%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
BeşiktaşBaşakşehir2.0Goals per game1.7
1.2Conceded per game1.6
1.90Points per game1.40
60%Win rate40%
8Goal difference1
7Form, last 5 (pts)10
Beşiktaş form
DWDLWA Kasımpaşa2–2
H Başakşehir2–0
H Crystal Palace2–2
A Trabzonspor2–0
A 1899 Hoffenheim2–3
Başakşehir form
WLWDWH Samsunspor5–2
A Beşiktaş2–0
H Gaziantep FK2–1
A Konyaspor0–0
H Gençlerbirliği S.K.4–0
Head to head
3
Beşiktaş
1
Draw
1
Başakşehir
Oct 2026Beşiktaş – Başakşehir2–0
Feb 2026Başakşehir – Beşiktaş2–3
Sept 2025Beşiktaş – Başakşehir2–1
Apr 2025Beşiktaş – Başakşehir0–2
Nov 2024Başakşehir – Beşiktaş0–0
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Beşiktaş slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.90 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.12 for Beşiktaş, 1.46 for Başakşehir), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Beşiktaş sit 4th on 19 points; Başakşehir are 10th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.