Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
GERBundesliga · Matchday 8Saturday, 31 October 2026 · BayArena
Bayer Leverkusen
6th · 13 pts2–4FULL TIME
VfB Stuttgart
10th · 9 pts61% Bayer
19% Draw
20% VfB
OUR PICK
Bayer Leverkusen to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.64
Expected goals
2.43 – 1.36
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.64X5.3324.92
Goals 2.5Over1.37Under3.49
Both scoreGG1.48NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.37
Over 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.48
GG
68%
Double chance@1.23
12
81%
Season stats
Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart2.3Goals per game1.8
2.0Conceded per game1.9
1.63Points per game1.13
50%Win rate38%
2Goal difference-1
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
Bayer Leverkusen form
No recent matches.
VfB Stuttgart form
WWLDLA Bayer Leverkusen2–4
A SC Paderborn 070–1
H Borussia Mönchengladbach2–3
H Atletico Madrid1–1
A Hamburger SV1–0
Head to head
0
Bayer
0
Draw
0
VfB
These sides haven't met recently.
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8FSV Mainz 058010
9FC Augsburg8+39
10VfB Stuttgart8-19
Match preview
Our model makes Bayer Leverkusen clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.43 for Bayer Leverkusen, 1.36 for VfB Stuttgart), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th on 13 points; VfB Stuttgart are 10th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.