Over 1.5 goals@1.66
Over 1.5
60%


Our model makes Basake Holy Stars slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.16 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.23 for Basake Holy Stars, 0.80 for Dreams), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Basake Holy Stars sit 8th on 12 points; Dreams are 18th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.