Over 1.5 goals@1.71
Over 1.5
59%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 5Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium
Basake Holy Stars
10th · 12 pts1–0FULL TIME
Berekum Chelsea
11th · 11 pts28% Basake
31% Draw
41% Berekum
OUR PICK
Berekum Chelsea to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.43
Expected goals
0.86 – 1.11
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.57X3.2522.43
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.46
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.63
NG
61%
Double chance@1.39
X2
72%
Season stats
Basake Holy StarsBerekum Chelsea0.6Goals per game1.1
1.0Conceded per game1.2
1.33Points per game1.22
44%Win rate33%
-4Goal difference-1
6Form, last 5 (pts)7
Basake Holy Stars form
LLWLWH Dreams0–1
A Hearts of Oak1–0
H Bechem United1–0
A Bibiani Gold Stars2–0
H Berekum Chelsea1–0
Berekum Chelsea form
LDWWLA Aduana Stars2–0
H Samartex0–0
A Heart of Lions0–2
H Debibi United3–0
A Basake Holy Stars1–0
Head to head
3
Basake
1
Draw
1
Berekum
Oct 2026Basake Holy Stars – Berekum Chelsea1–0
Feb 2026Basake Holy Stars – Berekum Chelsea2–0
Oct 2025Berekum Chelsea – Basake Holy Stars2–0
Apr 2025Basake Holy Stars – Berekum Chelsea2–1
Nov 2024Berekum Chelsea – Basake Holy Stars2–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama9+718
2Samartex9+518
3Hearts of Oak9+617
4Aduana Stars9+416
5Port City9+415
6Ashanti Gold9+214
7Swedru All Blacks9+214
8Bechem United9+113
9Asante Kotoko9013
10Basake Holy Stars9-412
Match preview
Our model makes Berekum Chelsea slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (0.86 for Basake Holy Stars, 1.11 for Berekum Chelsea), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Basake Holy Stars sit 10th on 12 points; Berekum Chelsea are 11th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.