Over 1.5 goals@1.78
Over 1.5
56%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 16Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Claudio Fabian Tapia
Barracas Central
22:00KICK-OFF WAT
Racing Club
37% Barracas
32% Draw
31% Racing
OUR PICK
Barracas Central to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.68
Expected goals
1.00 – 0.88
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.68X3.1323.25
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.41
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.59
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.59
NG
63%
Double chance@1.45
1X
69%
Barracas Central form
DWDWWA Belgrano Cordoba2–2
H Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–1
A Sarmiento Junin1–1
H Huracan2–0
A Atletico Tucuman2–3
Racing Club form
WLDLWH Aldosivi2–1
A River Plate1–0
H Independiente1–1
H Belgrano Cordoba0–2
A Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–2
Head to head
1
Barracas
2
Draw
2
Racing
Apr 2026Racing Club – Barracas Central1–1
Jul 2025Racing Club – Barracas Central0–1
Jan 2025Barracas Central – Racing Club1–3
Nov 2024Barracas Central – Racing Club0–2
Jun 2023Racing Club – Barracas Central1–1
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Barracas Central 37%, the draw 32%, Racing Club 31%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.68 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.00 for Barracas Central, 0.88 for Racing Club), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.