Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
89%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 9Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · The Hive Stadium
Barnet
2nd · 26 pts3–1FULL TIME
York
7th · 20 pts52% Barnet
21% Draw
28% York
OUR PICK
Barnet to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
2.17 – 1.55
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.93X4.8423.63
Goals 2.5Over1.39Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.43NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.39
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.43
GG
70%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
BarnetYork2.2Goals per game1.7
1.4Conceded per game1.5
2.00Points per game1.43
54%Win rate36%
10Goal difference3
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Barnet form
DWDLWA Crewe1–1
H York3–1
H Oldham1–1
H Swindon Town1–3
A Tranmere1–2
York form
No recent matches.
Head to head
4
Barnet
0
Draw
1
York
Oct 2026Barnet – York3–1
Feb 2025Barnet – York3–1
Oct 2024York – Barnet3–1
Feb 2024Barnet – York2–0
Sept 2023York – Barnet2–4
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model makes Barnet slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.93 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (2.17 for Barnet, 1.55 for York), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Barnet sit 2nd on 26 points; York are 7th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.