Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 13Saturday, 24 October 2026 · The Hive Stadium
Barnet
2nd · 26 pts1–1FULL TIME
Oldham
21st · 12 pts68% Barnet
18% Draw
15% Oldham
OUR PICK
Barnet to win
Model probability 68% · fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
2.46 – 1.07
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.48X5.7026.78
Goals 2.5Over1.46Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.66NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.66
GG
60%
Double chance@1.17
1X
85%
Season stats
BarnetOldham2.2Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game1.5
2.00Points per game0.92
54%Win rate23%
10Goal difference-5
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Barnet form
DWDLWA Crewe1–1
H York3–1
H Oldham1–1
H Swindon Town1–3
A Tranmere1–2
Oldham form
LDLWWH Crawley Town0–1
A Barnet1–1
A Walsall3–0
H Cheltenham4–1
H Leeds United U214–2
Head to head
2
Barnet
3
Draw
0
Oldham
Oct 2026Barnet – Oldham1–1
Jan 2026Barnet – Oldham3–2
Sept 2025Oldham – Barnet1–1
Mar 2025Oldham – Barnet0–3
Nov 2024Barnet – Oldham0–0
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model makes Barnet clear favourites, giving them a 68% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.46 for Barnet, 1.07 for Oldham), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Barnet sit 2nd on 26 points; Oldham are 21st on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.