Over 1.5 goals@1.08
Over 1.5
92%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Camp Nou
Barcelona
1st · 30 pts3–0FULL TIME
Getafe
12th · 12 pts87% Barcelona
9% Draw
5% Getafe
OUR PICK
Barcelona to win
Model probability 87% · fair odds
1.15
Expected goals
3.50 – 0.76
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.15X11.39221.93
Goals 2.5Over1.26Under4.49
Both scoreGG1.94NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.26
Over 2.5
79%
Both teams to score@1.94
GG
52%
Double chance@1.05
1X
95%
Season stats
BarcelonaGetafe4.2Goals per game0.7
1.1Conceded per game1.5
2.73Points per game1.09
91%Win rate27%
34Goal difference-8
12Form, last 5 (pts)7
Barcelona form
No recent matches.
Getafe form
WWLLDH Sevilla3–1
A Lebrijana2–3
A Athletic Club4–0
H FC Lugano2–5
H Rayo Vallecano1–1
Head to head
0
Barcelona
0
Draw
0
Getafe
These sides haven't met recently.
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid10+1524
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad10+119
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club9+312
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
Match preview
Our model makes Barcelona clear favourites, giving them a 87% chance of winning against 9% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.15 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.3 goals in total (3.50 for Barcelona, 0.76 for Getafe), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Barcelona sit 1st on 30 points; Getafe are 12th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.