Over 1.5 goals@1.58
Over 1.5
63%
NGANPFL · Matchday 8Sunday, 11 October 2026
Barau FC
7th · 16 pts2–2FULL TIME
Enugu Rangers
2nd · 18 pts38% Barau
29% Draw
32% Enugu
OUR PICK
Barau FC to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.63
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.02
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.63X3.3923.08
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.57
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.76
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.76
NG
57%
Double chance@1.42
12
71%
Season stats
Barau FCEnugu Rangers1.2Goals per game1.7
0.9Conceded per game1.1
1.45Points per game2.00
27%Win rate56%
3Goal difference5
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
Barau FC form
DDDDLA Niger Tornadoes0–0
H Kwara United1–1
A Rivers United0–0
H Enugu Rangers2–2
A Bendel Insurance4–1
Enugu Rangers form
DLWDWA Rivers United1–1
A MC Alger3–0
H MC Alger2–0
A Barau FC2–2
H Abia Warriors3–1
Head to head
1
Barau
2
Draw
0
Enugu
Oct 2026Barau FC – Enugu Rangers2–2
Apr 2026Enugu Rangers – Barau FC0–0
Nov 2025Barau FC – Enugu Rangers2–0
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Barau FC 38%, the draw 29%, Enugu Rangers 32%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.63 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.13 for Barau FC, 1.02 for Enugu Rangers), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Barau FC sit 7th on 16 points; Enugu Rangers are 2nd on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.