Over 1.5 goals@2.21
Over 1.5
45%
KENFKF Premier League · Matchday 6Sunday, 8 November 2026
Bandari
13th · 4 pts12:00KICK-OFF WAT
Tusker
16th · 3 pts30% Bandari
36% Draw
34% Tusker
OUR PICK
Draw
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.76
Expected goals
0.73 – 0.80
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.35X2.7622.95
Goals 2.5Over4.72Under1.25
Both scoreGG3.25NG1.40
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.25
Under 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.40
NG
71%
Double chance@1.43
X2
70%
Season stats
BandariTusker0.4Goals per game1.5
0.6Conceded per game1.0
0.80Points per game1.50
0%Win rate50%
-1Goal difference1
4Form, last 5 (pts)3
Bandari form
DDLDDA Nairobi United1–1
H Posta Rangers FC0–0
A GOR Mahia1–0
H 3K1–1
A AFC Leopards0–0
Tusker form
LDLWWA Mathare United2–1
A Singida Black Stars1–1
H Singida Black Stars0–1
A Ulinzi Stars0–2
H Al Ahli Wad Medani1–0
Head to head
2
Bandari
1
Draw
2
Tusker
May 2026Bandari – Tusker1–0
Jan 2026Tusker – Bandari1–2
Mar 2025Bandari – Tusker0–0
Jan 2025Tusker – Bandari1–0
Jun 2024Tusker – Bandari2–1
FKF Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1GOR Mahia5+412
2KCB5+310
3AFC Leopards5+39
4Murang'a SEAL5+27
5Migori Youth4+26
6APS Bomet5+26
7Mara Sugar4+16
8Shabana4+16
9Kenya Police405
10Mathare United405
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Bandari 30%, the draw 36%, Tusker 34%.
Our fair price for "Draw" is 2.76 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.5 goals in total (0.73 for Bandari, 0.80 for Tusker), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bandari sit 13th on 4 points; Tusker are 16th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.