Over 1.5 goals@1.92
Over 1.5
52%
KENFKF Premier League · Matchday 2Monday, 19 October 2026
Bandari
13th · 4 pts1–1FULL TIME
3K
11th · 5 pts40% Bandari
33% Draw
27% 3K
OUR PICK
Bandari to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.51
Expected goals
0.99 – 0.76
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.51X3.0223.69
Goals 2.5Over3.63Under1.34
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.50
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.34
Under 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.50
NG
67%
Double chance@1.37
1X
73%
Season stats
Bandari3K0.4Goals per game1.3
0.6Conceded per game1.8
0.80Points per game1.25
0%Win rate25%
-1Goal difference-2
4Form, last 5 (pts)5
Bandari form
DDLDDA Nairobi United1–1
H Posta Rangers FC0–0
A GOR Mahia1–0
H 3K1–1
A AFC Leopards0–0
3K form
LWDDDA APS Bomet3–0
H Murang'a SEAL2–1
A Bandari1–1
H Mara Sugar2–2
H Migori Youth1–1
Head to head
1
Bandari
1
Draw
0
3K
Oct 2026Bandari – 3K1–1
Apr 20263K – Bandari0–2
FKF Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1GOR Mahia5+412
2KCB5+310
3AFC Leopards5+39
4Murang'a SEAL5+27
5Migori Youth4+26
6APS Bomet5+26
7Mara Sugar4+16
8Shabana4+16
9Kenya Police405
10Mathare United405
Match preview
Our model makes Bandari slight favourites, giving them a 40% chance of winning against 33% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (0.99 for Bandari, 0.76 for 3K), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bandari sit 13th on 4 points; 3K are 11th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.