Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 13Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích
Baník Ostrava
13th · 11 pts0–4FULL TIME
Plzen
9th · 19 pts22% Baník
22% Draw
55% Plzen
OUR PICK
Plzen to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.82
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.88
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.46X4.4521.82
Goals 2.5Over1.73Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.29
X2
78%
Season stats
Baník OstravaPlzen0.6Goals per game2.2
1.8Conceded per game1.6
0.92Points per game1.46
25%Win rate38%
-15Goal difference7
2Form, last 5 (pts)9
Baník Ostrava form
LWDLH Plzen0–4
A Sparta Praha0–2
H Sparta Praha0–0
A Bohemians 19051–0
Plzen form
WWLLWA Baník Ostrava0–4
A Vysočina Jihlava1–6
H Pardubice1–2
H Levski Sofia1–2
A FK Jablonec2–3
Head to head
2
Baník
0
Draw
3
Plzen
Nov 2026Baník Ostrava – Plzen0–4
Apr 2026Baník Ostrava – Plzen0–1
Oct 2025Plzen – Baník Ostrava2–0
May 2025Plzen – Baník Ostrava1–2
Mar 2025Plzen – Baník Ostrava0–1
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model makes Plzen clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.82 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.12 for Baník Ostrava, 1.88 for Plzen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Baník Ostrava sit 13th on 11 points; Plzen are 9th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.