Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
Başakşehir
10th · 14 pts5–2FULL TIME
Samsunspor
17th · 4 pts64% Başakşehir
20% Draw
16% Samsunspor
OUR PICK
Başakşehir to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
2.18 – 1.00
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.56X5.1126.15
Goals 2.5Over1.63Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.63
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.78
GG
56%
Double chance@1.19
1X
84%
Season stats
BaşakşehirSamsunspor1.7Goals per game1.0
1.6Conceded per game2.6
1.40Points per game0.40
40%Win rate10%
1Goal difference-16
10Form, last 5 (pts)0
Başakşehir form
No recent matches.
Samsunspor form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Başakşehir
0
Draw
0
Samsunspor
These sides haven't met recently.
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Başakşehir clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (2.18 for Başakşehir, 1.00 for Samsunspor), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Başakşehir sit 10th on 14 points; Samsunspor are 17th on 4.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.