Over 1.5 goals@1.44
Over 1.5
69%
SCOChampionship · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Somerset Park
Ayr Utd
7th · 15 pts3–2FULL TIME
Queen's Park
10th · 7 pts63% Ayr
23% Draw
14% Queen's
OUR PICK
Ayr Utd to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.60
Expected goals
1.73 – 0.68
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.60X4.3327.02
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.76
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.68
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.68
NG
59%
Double chance@1.17
1X
86%
Season stats
Ayr UtdQueen's Park1.1Goals per game0.6
1.2Conceded per game1.7
1.25Points per game0.54
33%Win rate15%
-1Goal difference-14
7Form, last 5 (pts)3
Ayr Utd form
No recent matches.
Queen's Park form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Ayr
0
Draw
0
Queen's
These sides haven't met recently.
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Partick13+1025
2Raith Rovers13+1124
3Dunfermline13+824
4Stenhousemuir13+123
5Livingston13+720
6Inverness CT13+119
7Ayr Utd12-115
8Arbroath13-1511
9Morton12-810
10Queen's Park13-147
Match preview
Our model makes Ayr Utd clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.73 for Ayr Utd, 0.68 for Queen's Park), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ayr Utd sit 7th on 15 points; Queen's Park are 10th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.