Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
ITASerie B · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Avellino
10th · 12 pts2–0LIVE 74'
Pisa
5th · 15 pts44% Avellino
24% Draw
33% Pisa
OUR PICK
Avellino to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.30
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.30X4.2223.05
Goals 2.5Over1.68Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.62NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.68
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.62
GG
62%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
AvellinoPisa1.4Goals per game2.0
1.1Conceded per game1.4
1.33Points per game1.67
33%Win rate44%
3Goal difference5
5Form, last 5 (pts)9
Avellino form
WDLDWH Pisa2–0
A Virtus Entella1–1
H Padova0–1
A Cesena1–1
H Sampdoria4–1
Pisa form
LDDWWA Avellino2–0
H Palermo3–3
A Hellas Verona1–1
H Cremonese3–1
A Vicenza Virtus0–3
Head to head
3
Avellino
0
Draw
0
Pisa
Nov 2026Avellino – Pisa2–0
Apr 2017Pisa – Avellino0–1
Nov 2016Avellino – Pisa1–0
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo9+1023
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli9+1018
4Mantova10+418
5Pisa9+515
6Benevento10+415
7Padova10-114
8Sudtirol10+114
9Hellas Verona9+312
10Avellino9+312
Match preview
Our model makes Avellino slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.30 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.67 for Avellino, 1.42 for Pisa), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Avellino sit 10th on 12 points; Pisa are 5th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.