Over 1.5 goals@1.61
Over 1.5
62%
BRASerie B · Matchday 35Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Estádio da Ressacada
Avai
17th · 37 pts0–2FULL TIME
Botafogo SP
12th · 48 pts34% Avai
30% Draw
36% Botafogo
OUR PICK
Botafogo SP to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.79
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.07
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.92X3.3522.79
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.55
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.74
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.55
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.74
NG
58%
Double chance@1.43
12
70%
Season stats
AvaiBotafogo SP0.9Goals per game1.1
1.3Conceded per game1.1
1.03Points per game1.33
28%Win rate36%
-13Goal difference2
7Form, last 5 (pts)13
Avai form
LLDWWA Nautico Recife1–0
H Botafogo SP0–2
H Athletic Club0–0
A Cuiaba0–1
H Londrina2–1
Botafogo SP form
DWWWWH Sport Recife1–1
A Avai0–2
A CRB0–1
H Ceara1–0
A Operario-PR1–2
Head to head
2
Avai
1
Draw
2
Botafogo
Oct 2026Avai – Botafogo SP0–2
Jul 2026Botafogo SP – Avai3–1
Nov 2025Botafogo SP – Avai0–0
Jul 2025Avai – Botafogo SP5–0
Nov 2024Botafogo SP – Avai1–3
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Avai 34%, the draw 30%, Botafogo SP 36%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.04 for Avai, 1.07 for Botafogo SP), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Avai sit 17th on 37 points; Botafogo SP are 12th on 48.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.