Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
AUT2. Liga · Matchday 9Friday, 16 October 2026 · Generali Arena
Austria Vienna (Am)
3rd · 22 pts2–2FULL TIME
WSPG Wels
15th · 8 pts73% Austria
15% Draw
11% WSPG
OUR PICK
Austria Vienna (Am) to win
Model probability 73% · fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
2.66 – 0.97
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.37X6.4528.77
Goals 2.5Over1.43Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.73NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.43
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.73
GG
58%
Double chance@1.13
1X
89%
Season stats
Austria Vienna (Am)WSPG Wels1.7Goals per game1.3
1.3Conceded per game2.5
2.00Points per game0.73
64%Win rate18%
5Goal difference-13
13Form, last 5 (pts)4
Austria Vienna (Am) form
WWDWWA Wacker Innsbruck1–2
H Sturm Graz II1–0
H WSPG Wels2–2
A SV Kapfenberg0–1
H Rapid Wien II4–1
WSPG Wels form
LWLDWA SKN ST. Polten2–1
H Wolfsberger AC1–0
H Voitsberg2–6
A Austria Vienna (Am)2–2
H Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz1–0
Head to head
2
Austria
1
Draw
0
WSPG
Oct 2026Austria Vienna (Am) – WSPG Wels2–2
Mar 2026Austria Vienna (Am) – WSPG Wels1–0
Aug 2025WSPG Wels – Austria Vienna (Am)0–1
2. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC BW Linz11+2628
2First Vienna11+625
3Austria Vienna (Am)11+522
4Austria Salzburg11+619
5Admira Wacker11+218
6SKU Amstetten11+117
7FC Liefering11-117
8Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz11-115
9Floridsdorfer AC11-214
10Wacker Innsbruck11014
Match preview
Our model makes Austria Vienna (Am) clear favourites, giving them a 73% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.37 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.66 for Austria Vienna (Am), 0.97 for WSPG Wels), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Austria Vienna (Am) sit 3rd on 22 points; WSPG Wels are 15th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.