Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
AUT2. Liga · Matchday 10Friday, 23 October 2026 · Generali Arena
Austria Vienna (Am)
3rd · 22 pts1–0FULL TIME
Sturm Graz II
13th · 11 pts62% Austria
18% Draw
20% Sturm
OUR PICK
Austria Vienna (Am) to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.60
Expected goals
2.60 – 1.43
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.60X5.6025.08
Goals 2.5Over1.31Under3.93
Both scoreGG1.42NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Over 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.42
GG
70%
Double chance@1.22
12
82%
Season stats
Austria Vienna (Am)Sturm Graz II1.7Goals per game1.6
1.3Conceded per game2.2
2.00Points per game1.00
64%Win rate27%
5Goal difference-6
13Form, last 5 (pts)4
Austria Vienna (Am) form
WWDWWA Wacker Innsbruck1–2
H Sturm Graz II1–0
H WSPG Wels2–2
A SV Kapfenberg0–1
H Rapid Wien II4–1
Sturm Graz II form
WLLLDH Voitsberg2–0
A Austria Vienna (Am)1–0
H SV Kapfenberg0–2
A FC Liefering3–1
H Wacker Innsbruck2–2
Head to head
3
Austria
0
Draw
2
Sturm
Oct 2026Austria Vienna (Am) – Sturm Graz II1–0
Mar 2026Austria Vienna (Am) – Sturm Graz II0–1
Sept 2025Sturm Graz II – Austria Vienna (Am)1–2
Apr 2023Austria Vienna (Am) – Sturm Graz II0–1
Sept 2022Sturm Graz II – Austria Vienna (Am)1–2
2. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC BW Linz11+2628
2First Vienna11+625
3Austria Vienna (Am)11+522
4Austria Salzburg11+619
5Admira Wacker11+218
6SKU Amstetten11+117
7FC Liefering11-117
8Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz11-115
9Floridsdorfer AC11-214
10Wacker Innsbruck11014
Match preview
Our model makes Austria Vienna (Am) clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (2.60 for Austria Vienna (Am), 1.43 for Sturm Graz II), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Austria Vienna (Am) sit 3rd on 22 points; Sturm Graz II are 13th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.