Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
AUT2. Liga · Matchday 10Friday, 23 October 2026 · Max-Aicher-Stadion
Austria Salzburg
4th · 19 pts0–1FULL TIME
FC BW Linz
1st · 28 pts21% Austria
21% Draw
58% FC
OUR PICK
FC BW Linz to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.72
Expected goals
1.18 – 2.09
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.77X4.8021.72
Goals 2.5Over1.58Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.65NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.58
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.65
GG
61%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
Austria SalzburgFC BW Linz1.8Goals per game2.9
1.3Conceded per game0.5
1.73Points per game2.55
55%Win rate82%
6Goal difference26
9Form, last 5 (pts)13
Austria Salzburg form
No recent matches.
FC BW Linz form
WWWDWA First Vienna0–6
A Austria Salzburg0–1
H FC Liefering4–1
A SKU Amstetten1–1
A Red Bull Salzburg1–2
Head to head
0
Austria
0
Draw
0
FC
These sides haven't met recently.
2. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC BW Linz11+2628
2First Vienna11+625
3Austria Vienna (Am)11+522
4Austria Salzburg11+619
5Admira Wacker11+218
6SKU Amstetten11+117
7FC Liefering11-117
8Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz11-115
9Floridsdorfer AC11-214
10Wacker Innsbruck11014
Match preview
Our model makes FC BW Linz clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.72 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.18 for Austria Salzburg, 2.09 for FC BW Linz), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Austria Salzburg sit 4th on 19 points; FC BW Linz are 1st on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.