Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
AUTBundesliga · Matchday 9Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Planet Pure Stadion
Austria Lustenau
10th · 8 pts0–4FULL TIME
Lask Linz
3rd · 22 pts19% Austria
18% Draw
63% Lask
OUR PICK
Lask Linz to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.58
Expected goals
1.35 – 2.55
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.32X5.5721.58
Goals 2.5Over1.34Under3.77
Both scoreGG1.46NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.34
Over 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.46
GG
68%
Double chance@1.22
12
82%
Season stats
Austria LustenauLask Linz1.2Goals per game2.4
2.6Conceded per game1.2
0.73Points per game2.00
18%Win rate64%
-16Goal difference13
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
Austria Lustenau form
LWLLLA Red Bull Salzburg5–1
H Sturm Graz3–2
A Rapid Vienna5–1
H Lask Linz0–4
A TSV Hartberg4–3
Lask Linz form
WWLWWH WSG Wattens2–1
H Ried5–4
H Red Bull Salzburg1–3
A Sporting CP2–3
A Austria Lustenau0–4
Head to head
0
Austria
1
Draw
4
Lask
Oct 2026Austria Lustenau – Lask Linz0–4
Dec 2023Austria Lustenau – Lask Linz1–3
Sept 2023Lask Linz – Austria Lustenau2–0
Feb 2023Lask Linz – Austria Lustenau1–0
Sept 2022Austria Lustenau – Lask Linz1–1
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rapid Vienna11+2430
2Red Bull Salzburg11+2327
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz11+619
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau11-168
Match preview
Our model makes Lask Linz clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (1.35 for Austria Lustenau, 2.55 for Lask Linz), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Austria Lustenau sit 10th on 8 points; Lask Linz are 3rd on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.