Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
AUTBundesliga · Matchday 12Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Planet Pure Stadion
Austria Lustenau
10th · 8 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
Grazer AK
9th · 10 pts55% Austria
21% Draw
24% Grazer
OUR PICK
Austria Lustenau to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
2.02 – 1.27
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.83X4.6524.20
Goals 2.5Over1.57Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
62%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
Austria LustenauGrazer AK1.2Goals per game0.7
2.6Conceded per game2.5
0.73Points per game0.91
18%Win rate18%
-16Goal difference-19
3Form, last 5 (pts)3
Austria Lustenau form
LWLLLA Red Bull Salzburg5–1
H Sturm Graz3–2
A Rapid Vienna5–1
H Lask Linz0–4
A TSV Hartberg4–3
Grazer AK form
LLDLDH TSV Hartberg0–4
H SCR Altach0–4
A WSG Wattens1–1
A Sturm Graz6–1
H Red Bull Salzburg0–0
Head to head
2
Austria
1
Draw
2
Grazer
Aug 2026Grazer AK – Austria Lustenau2–1
Nov 2021Grazer AK – Austria Lustenau0–0
Jul 2021Austria Lustenau – Grazer AK2–1
May 2021Grazer AK – Austria Lustenau2–0
Dec 2020Austria Lustenau – Grazer AK3–1
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rapid Vienna11+2430
2Red Bull Salzburg11+2327
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz11+619
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau11-168
Match preview
Our model makes Austria Lustenau clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.83 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (2.02 for Austria Lustenau, 1.27 for Grazer AK), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Austria Lustenau sit 10th on 8 points; Grazer AK are 9th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.