Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 30Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Q2 Stadium
Austin
14th · 34 pts1–2FULL TIME
Vancouver Whitecaps
1st · 61 pts16% Austin
19% Draw
64% Vancouver
OUR PICK
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
1.00 – 2.19
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X216.19X5.1321.55
Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.78
GG
56%
Double chance@1.19
X2
84%
Season stats
AustinVancouver Whitecaps1.3Goals per game2.2
1.9Conceded per game1.0
1.03Points per game1.85
24%Win rate55%
-21Goal difference38
3Form, last 5 (pts)10
Austin form
LLWLLA Los Angeles Galaxy4–1
H Real Salt Lake1–2
A Sporting Kansas City1–2
H Vancouver Whitecaps1–2
A Los Angeles FC3–1
Vancouver Whitecaps form
WWLWDH Seattle Sounders5–1
H San Diego4–1
A Colorado Rapids1–0
A Austin1–2
A St. Louis City0–0
Head to head
1
Austin
1
Draw
3
Vancouver
Oct 2026Austin – Vancouver Whitecaps1–2
Sept 2026Vancouver Whitecaps – Austin1–2
May 2025Austin – Vancouver Whitecaps0–0
Apr 2025Vancouver Whitecaps – Austin5–1
Sept 2024Austin – Vancouver Whitecaps0–1
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Vancouver Whitecaps clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.00 for Austin, 2.19 for Vancouver Whitecaps), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Austin sit 14th on 34 points; Vancouver Whitecaps are 1st on 61.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.