Over 1.5 goals@1.97
Over 1.5
51%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 11Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro
Atletico Tucuman
2–3FULL TIME
Barracas Central
35% Atletico
34% Draw
31% Barracas
OUR PICK
Atletico Tucuman to win
Model probability 35% · fair odds
2.88
Expected goals
0.88 – 0.82
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.88X2.9423.19
Goals 2.5Over3.93Under1.32
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.32
Under 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.49
NG
67%
Double chance@1.46
1X
69%
Atletico Tucuman form
DWLDLH Platense1–1
A Tigre0–1
H Rosario Central2–3
A Gimnasia L.P.1–1
H Barracas Central2–3
Barracas Central form
WDWWLH Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–1
A Sarmiento Junin1–1
H Huracan2–0
A Atletico Tucuman2–3
H Independ. Rivadavia0–1
Head to head
2
Atletico
0
Draw
3
Barracas
Oct 2026Atletico Tucuman – Barracas Central2–3
Mar 2026Barracas Central – Atletico Tucuman2–1
Jul 2024Barracas Central – Atletico Tucuman0–2
Feb 2024Barracas Central – Atletico Tucuman2–0
Sept 2023Atletico Tucuman – Barracas Central1–0
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Atletico Tucuman 35%, the draw 34%, Barracas Central 31%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (0.88 for Atletico Tucuman, 0.82 for Barracas Central), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.