Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 16Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Estadio Libertad Financiera
Atletico San Luis
13th · 19 pts02:00KICK-OFF WAT
FC Juarez
18th · 8 pts65% Atletico
20% Draw
15% FC
OUR PICK
Atletico San Luis to win
Model probability 65% · fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
2.06 – 0.86
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.54X4.9726.79
Goals 2.5Over1.79Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.99NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.99
GG
50%
Double chance@1.17
1X
85%
Season stats
Atletico San LuisFC Juarez1.3Goals per game0.8
1.5Conceded per game2.3
1.27Points per game0.53
33%Win rate13%
-4Goal difference-22
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
Atletico San Luis form
LWWDLH Atlas0–1
A Atlante FC0–1
H Club Queretaro2–1
A Toluca1–1
H Santos Laguna1–2
FC Juarez form
WDLLDH Club Queretaro3–1
A Necaxa1–1
H Atlante FC0–1
A Cruz Azul5–0
H Club Tijuana1–1
Head to head
2
Atletico
0
Draw
3
FC
Apr 2026FC Juarez – Atletico San Luis2–1
Nov 2025Atletico San Luis – FC Juarez1–2
Mar 2025Atletico San Luis – FC Juarez1–0
Oct 2024FC Juarez – Atletico San Luis2–4
Apr 2024Atletico San Luis – FC Juarez2–3
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model makes Atletico San Luis clear favourites, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (2.06 for Atletico San Luis, 0.86 for FC Juarez), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Atletico San Luis sit 13th on 19 points; FC Juarez are 18th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.