Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 13Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Alfonso Lastras Ramirez
Atletico San Luis
13th · 19 pts2–1FULL TIME
Club Queretaro
11th · 20 pts40% Atletico
26% Draw
34% Club
OUR PICK
Atletico San Luis to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.47
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.25
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.47X3.8422.98
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.98
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
Atletico San LuisClub Queretaro1.3Goals per game1.3
1.5Conceded per game1.5
1.27Points per game1.43
33%Win rate43%
-4Goal difference-3
7Form, last 5 (pts)3
Atletico San Luis form
LWWDLH Atlas0–1
A Atlante FC0–1
H Club Queretaro2–1
A Toluca1–1
H Santos Laguna1–2
Club Queretaro form
LLLLWA FC Juarez3–1
H Cruz Azul1–3
A Atletico San Luis2–1
A Santos Laguna5–0
H Atlante FC2–0
Head to head
2
Atletico
1
Draw
2
Club
Oct 2026Atletico San Luis – Club Queretaro2–1
Jun 2026Club Queretaro – Atletico San Luis2–2
Feb 2026Atletico San Luis – Club Queretaro3–0
Aug 2025Club Queretaro – Atletico San Luis3–2
Feb 2025Club Queretaro – Atletico San Luis1–0
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Atletico San Luis 40%, the draw 26%, Club Queretaro 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.40 for Atletico San Luis, 1.25 for Club Queretaro), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Atletico San Luis sit 13th on 19 points; Club Queretaro are 11th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.