Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
85%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 15Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estadio Libertad Financiera
Atletico San Luis
13th · 19 pts0–1FULL TIME
Atlas
4th · 27 pts44% Atletico
22% Draw
34% Atlas
OUR PICK
Atletico San Luis to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.28
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.58
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.28X4.4522.98
Goals 2.5Over1.51Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.50NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.50
GG
67%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
Atletico San LuisAtlas1.3Goals per game1.7
1.5Conceded per game1.7
1.27Points per game1.80
33%Win rate53%
-4Goal difference0
7Form, last 5 (pts)10
Atletico San Luis form
LWWDLH Atlas0–1
A Atlante FC0–1
H Club Queretaro2–1
A Toluca1–1
H Santos Laguna1–2
Atlas form
WWLWDA Atletico San Luis0–1
H Puebla4–3
H Club America2–5
A Necaxa0–2
H Guadalajara Chivas1–1
Head to head
2
Atletico
0
Draw
3
Atlas
Oct 2026Atletico San Luis – Atlas0–1
Jul 2026Atlas – Atletico San Luis0–1
Feb 2026Atlas – Atletico San Luis3–2
Oct 2025Atletico San Luis – Atlas2–0
Mar 2025Atlas – Atletico San Luis3–1
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model makes Atletico San Luis slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.28 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.83 for Atletico San Luis, 1.58 for Atlas), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Atletico San Luis sit 13th on 19 points; Atlas are 4th on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.