Over 1.5 goals@1.49
Over 1.5
67%
BRASerie B · Matchday 35Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Estadio Antonio Accioly
Atletico Goianiense
9th · 55 pts0–1FULL TIME
Novorizontino
1st · 67 pts31% Atletico
28% Draw
41% Novorizontino
OUR PICK
Novorizontino to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.45
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.25
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.23X3.5522.45
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.68
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.87
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.68
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.87
NG
54%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
Atletico GoianienseNovorizontino1.2Goals per game1.8
0.9Conceded per game0.9
1.53Points per game1.86
39%Win rate53%
9Goal difference33
3Form, last 5 (pts)13
Atletico Goianiense form
DLDDLA Fortaleza EC0–0
H Novorizontino0–1
A Ponte Preta1–1
H Sport Recife1–1
A CRB3–1
Novorizontino form
WWDWWH Operario-PR2–1
A Atletico Goianiense0–1
A Vila Nova2–2
H Ponte Preta5–1
A Nautico Recife0–2
Head to head
1
Atletico
2
Draw
2
Novorizontino
Oct 2026Atletico Goianiense – Novorizontino0–1
Jul 2026Novorizontino – Atletico Goianiense3–0
Sept 2025Novorizontino – Atletico Goianiense1–1
May 2025Atletico Goianiense – Novorizontino1–0
Nov 2023Atletico Goianiense – Novorizontino2–2
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC36+1262
6CRB36+355
7Goias36-355
8Sport Recife36+955
9Atletico Goianiense36+955
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model makes Novorizontino slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.05 for Atletico Goianiense, 1.25 for Novorizontino), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Atletico Goianiense sit 9th on 55 points; Novorizontino are 1st on 67.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.