Over 1.5 goals@1.51
Over 1.5
66%
BRASerie B · Matchday 31Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Estadio Antonio Accioly
Atletico Goianiense
8th · 54 pts2–0FULL TIME
America Mineiro
19th · 26 pts63% Atletico
24% Draw
13% America
OUR PICK
Atletico Goianiense to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.58
Expected goals
1.67 – 0.60
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.58X4.2427.70
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.66
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.58
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.58
NG
63%
Double chance@1.15
1X
87%
Season stats
Atletico GoianienseAmerica Mineiro1.2Goals per game0.7
0.9Conceded per game1.5
1.54Points per game0.72
40%Win rate19%
9Goal difference-29
5Form, last 5 (pts)9
Atletico Goianiense form
LDDLWH Novorizontino0–1
A Ponte Preta1–1
H Sport Recife1–1
A CRB3–1
H America Mineiro2–0
America Mineiro form
WWWLLA Londrina1–3
H Cuiaba1–0
H Operario-PR1–0
A Criciuma1–0
H Fortaleza EC0–1
Head to head
3
Atletico
1
Draw
1
America
Oct 2026Atletico Goianiense – America Mineiro2–0
Jun 2026America Mineiro – Atletico Goianiense1–2
Sept 2025Atletico Goianiense – America Mineiro1–0
May 2025America Mineiro – Atletico Goianiense2–1
Nov 2022America Mineiro – Atletico Goianiense1–1
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
Match preview
Our model makes Atletico Goianiense clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.67 for Atletico Goianiense, 0.60 for America Mineiro), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Atletico Goianiense sit 8th on 54 points; America Mineiro are 19th on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.