Over 1.5 goals@1.94
Over 1.5
52%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 36Monday, 2 November 2026 · Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Atletico DE Rafaela
19:00KICK-OFF WAT
Patronato
39% Atletico
33% Draw
28% Patronato
OUR PICK
Atletico DE Rafaela to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.60
Expected goals
0.96 – 0.77
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.60X2.9923.57
Goals 2.5Over3.77Under1.33
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.50
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.33
Under 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.50
NG
67%
Double chance@1.39
1X
72%
Atletico DE Rafaela form
DWLLLA Colegiales1–1
H Quilmes1–0
A Midland4–0
H Atlanta2–3
A Gimnasia Y Tiro1–0
Patronato form
LLWLWH Agropecuario0–2
A Tristan Suarez1–0
H Club Atlético Güemes2–0
A Chacarita Juniors1–0
H San Martin S.J.3–0
Head to head
1
Atletico
1
Draw
0
Patronato
Jun 2026Patronato – Atletico DE Rafaela0–0
Dec 2016Atletico DE Rafaela – Patronato3–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes35+149
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Atletico DE Rafaela slight favourites, giving them a 39% chance of winning against 33% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (0.96 for Atletico DE Rafaela, 0.77 for Patronato), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.