Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 13Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
3rd · 27 pts2–5FULL TIME
Club America
1st · 29 pts37% Atlas
22% Draw
41% Club
OUR PICK
Club America to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.43
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.82
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.73X4.5122.43
Goals 2.5Over1.46Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.46NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.46
GG
69%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
AtlasClub America1.7Goals per game2.4
1.7Conceded per game1.4
1.80Points per game1.93
53%Win rate53%
0Goal difference15
10Form, last 5 (pts)8
Atlas form
WWLWDA Atletico San Luis0–1
H Puebla4–3
H Club America2–5
A Necaxa0–2
H Guadalajara Chivas1–1
Club America form
DDLWWH Toluca2–2
H Club Tijuana1–1
H CF Pachuca1–2
A Atlas2–5
A Leon3–5
Head to head
1
Atlas
0
Draw
4
Club
Oct 2026Atlas – Club America2–5
Apr 2026Club America – Atlas0–1
Aug 2025Atlas – Club America2–4
Mar 2025Atlas – Club America1–3
Sept 2024Club America – Atlas3–0
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Atlas15027
4Cruz Azul14+926
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon14+322
8Monterrey14+521
9U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
10Club Queretaro14-320
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Atlas 37%, the draw 22%, Club America 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.71 for Atlas, 1.82 for Club America), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Atlas sit 3rd on 27 points; Club America are 1st on 29.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.