Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 12Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Estadio Banorte
Atlante FC
16th · 14 pts1–2FULL TIME
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
10th · 20 pts39% Atlante
26% Draw
36% U.N.A.M.
OUR PICK
Atlante FC to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.58
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.33
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.58X3.9022.81
Goals 2.5Over1.95Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.80NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.80
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
74%
Season stats
Atlante FCU.N.A.M. - Pumas1.1Goals per game1.5
1.6Conceded per game1.6
0.93Points per game1.33
20%Win rate33%
-8Goal difference-2
3Form, last 5 (pts)8
Atlante FC form
LLWLLA Guadalajara Chivas4–2
H Atletico San Luis0–1
A FC Juarez0–1
H U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–2
A Club Queretaro2–0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas form
WDLWDA Puebla1–2
H Tigres UANL1–1
A Santos Laguna2–0
A Atlante FC1–2
H Cruz Azul3–3
Head to head
0
Atlante
0
Draw
1
U.N.A.M.
Oct 2026Atlante FC – U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–2
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Atlante FC 39%, the draw 26%, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.40 for Atlante FC, 1.33 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Atlante FC sit 16th on 14 points; U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 10th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.