Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 16Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Estadio Banorte
Atlante FC
16th · 14 pts04:00KICK-OFF WAT
Santos Laguna
12th · 19 pts34% Atlante
26% Draw
39% Santos
OUR PICK
Santos Laguna to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.54
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.35
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.92X3.7922.54
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.92
Both scoreGG1.90NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.90
GG
53%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Atlante FCSantos Laguna1.1Goals per game1.4
1.6Conceded per game1.4
0.93Points per game1.36
20%Win rate43%
-8Goal difference0
3Form, last 5 (pts)12
Atlante FC form
LLWLLA Guadalajara Chivas4–2
H Atletico San Luis0–1
A FC Juarez0–1
H U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–2
A Club Queretaro2–0
Santos Laguna form
WLWWWH Necaxa1–0
A Club Tijuana4–1
H U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–0
H Club Queretaro5–0
A Atletico San Luis1–2
Head to head
1
Atlante
0
Draw
0
Santos
Dec 2025Santos Laguna – Atlante FC0–3
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Atlas15027
4Cruz Azul14+926
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon14+322
8Monterrey14+521
9U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
10Club Queretaro14-320
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Atlante FC 34%, the draw 26%, Santos Laguna 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.24 for Atlante FC, 1.35 for Santos Laguna), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Atlante FC sit 16th on 14 points; Santos Laguna are 12th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.