Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 33Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Atlanta Stadium
Atlanta United FC
22:30KICK-OFF WAT
Toronto FC
41% Atlanta
24% Draw
35% Toronto
OUR PICK
Atlanta United FC to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.41
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.50
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.41X4.2422.86
Goals 2.5Over1.64Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.59NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.59
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Atlanta United FC form
No recent matches.
Toronto FC form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Atlanta
0
Draw
0
Toronto
These sides haven't met recently.
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders32+143
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Atlanta United FC 41%, the draw 24%, Toronto FC 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.41 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.65 for Atlanta United FC, 1.50 for Toronto FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.