Over 1.5 goals@1.62
Over 1.5
62%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 36Saturday, 31 October 2026
Atlanta
0–0FULL TIME
Midland
37% Atlanta
30% Draw
33% Midland
OUR PICK
Atlanta to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.72
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.01
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.72X3.3323.01
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.53
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.72
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.72
NG
58%
Double chance@1.43
12
70%
Atlanta form
DWLWWH Midland0–0
A Gimnasia Jujuy1–2
A Gimnasia Y Tiro3–1
H San Martin Tucuman1–0
A Atletico DE Rafaela2–3
Midland form
DWLWDA Atlanta0–0
H Gimnasia Y Tiro3–0
A San Martin Tucuman3–2
H Atletico DE Rafaela4–0
A Agropecuario0–0
Head to head
1
Atlanta
1
Draw
0
Midland
Oct 2026Atlanta – Midland0–0
Jun 2026Midland – Atlanta1–2
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes35+149
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Atlanta 37%, the draw 30%, Midland 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.72 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.08 for Atlanta, 1.01 for Midland), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.