Over 1.5 goals@1.49
Over 1.5
67%
BRASerie B · Matchday 36Monday, 2 November 2026 · Estadio Joaquim Portugal
Athletic Club
15th · 44 pts22:00KICK-OFF WAT
Ceara
16th · 43 pts47% Athletic
27% Draw
26% Ceara
OUR PICK
Athletic Club to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.14
Expected goals
1.37 – 0.94
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.14X3.6423.88
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.69
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.83
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.83
NG
55%
Double chance@1.35
1X
74%
Season stats
Athletic ClubCeara1.1Goals per game1.1
1.1Conceded per game1.3
1.26Points per game1.23
29%Win rate31%
0Goal difference-7
2Form, last 5 (pts)7
Athletic Club form
No recent matches.
Ceara form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Athletic
0
Draw
0
Ceara
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
Match preview
Our model makes Athletic Club slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.14 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.37 for Athletic Club, 0.94 for Ceara), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Athletic Club sit 15th on 44 points; Ceara are 16th on 43.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.