Over 1.5 goals@1.63
Over 1.5
61%
BRASerie B · Matchday 37Sunday, 8 November 2026
Athletic Club
14th · 47 pts20:00KICK-OFF WAT
Atletico Goianiense
9th · 55 pts36% Athletic
30% Draw
34% Atletico
OUR PICK
Athletic Club to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.80
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.02
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.80X3.3122.93
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.52
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.71
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.71
NG
58%
Double chance@1.43
12
70%
Season stats
Athletic ClubAtletico Goianiense1.2Goals per game1.2
1.1Conceded per game0.9
1.31Points per game1.53
31%Win rate39%
1Goal difference9
5Form, last 5 (pts)3
Athletic Club form
WLDDLH Ceara2–1
A Operario-PR1–0
A Avai0–0
H Londrina2–2
A Goias2–1
Atletico Goianiense form
DLDDLA Fortaleza EC0–0
H Novorizontino0–1
A Ponte Preta1–1
H Sport Recife1–1
A CRB3–1
Head to head
0
Athletic
2
Draw
1
Atletico
Jul 2026Atletico Goianiense – Athletic Club0–0
Aug 2025Athletic Club – Atletico Goianiense1–1
Apr 2025Atletico Goianiense – Athletic Club4–2
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC36+1262
6CRB36+355
7Goias36-355
8Sport Recife36+955
9Atletico Goianiense36+955
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Athletic Club 36%, the draw 30%, Atletico Goianiense 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.05 for Athletic Club, 1.02 for Atletico Goianiense), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Athletic Club sit 14th on 47 points; Atletico Goianiense are 9th on 55.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.