Over 1.5 goals@2.21
Over 1.5
45%
EGYPremier League · Matchday 8Friday, 30 October 2026 · Asyut University Stadium
Asyut Petrol
18th · 6 pts1–1FULL TIME
El Gouna FC
20th · 3 pts39% Asyut
36% Draw
25% El
OUR PICK
Asyut Petrol to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.54
Expected goals
0.89 – 0.64
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.54X2.7924.03
Goals 2.5Over4.72Under1.25
Both scoreGG3.37NG1.39
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.25
Under 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.39
NG
72%
Double chance@1.33
1X
75%
Season stats
Asyut PetrolEl Gouna FC0.5Goals per game0.6
1.0Conceded per game1.4
0.75Points per game0.38
13%Win rate0%
-4Goal difference-6
4Form, last 5 (pts)1
Asyut Petrol form
No recent matches.
El Gouna FC form
No recent matches.
Head to head
1
Asyut
1
Draw
2
El
Oct 2026Asyut Petrol – El Gouna FC1–1
Dec 2025El Gouna FC – Asyut Petrol2–1
May 2023El Gouna FC – Asyut Petrol1–0
Dec 2022Asyut Petrol – El Gouna FC1–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Pyramids FC8+1524
2Al Ahly8+920
3Zamalek SC8+719
4Ceramica Cleopatra8+718
5Al Ittihad8+314
6Future FC8+213
7El Mokawloon8+311
8National Bank of Egypt8011
9Smouha SC8011
10Masr8-111
Match preview
Our model makes Asyut Petrol slight favourites, giving them a 39% chance of winning against 36% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.5 goals in total (0.89 for Asyut Petrol, 0.64 for El Gouna FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Asyut Petrol sit 18th on 6 points; El Gouna FC are 20th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.