Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 10Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
Asteras Tripolis
12th · 6 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Kalamata
8th · 11 pts35% Asteras
23% Draw
42% Kalamata
OUR PICK
Kalamata to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.41
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.68
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.85X4.2922.41
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.57NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.57
GG
64%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Asteras TripolisKalamata0.9Goals per game1.6
1.9Conceded per game2.0
0.67Points per game1.22
11%Win rate33%
-9Goal difference-4
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
Asteras Tripolis form
LLDLWA PAOK2–1
H Kifisia0–2
H Levadiakos0–0
A Panathinaikos5–1
H Atromitos2–1
Kalamata form
WLWWLA Nestos Chrisoupolis0–2
A Olympiakos Piraeus5–0
H OFI4–3
A PAOK1–3
H Panathinaikos0–1
Head to head
0
Asteras
0
Draw
0
Kalamata
These sides haven't met recently.
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos9+1624
2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
3PAOK9+618
4AEK Athens FC8+1617
5Aris Thessalonikis9-416
6OFI9+216
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata9-411
9Iraklis 19089-210
10Panetolikos9-99
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Asteras Tripolis 35%, the draw 23%, Kalamata 42%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.41 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.53 for Asteras Tripolis, 1.68 for Kalamata), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Asteras Tripolis sit 12th on 6 points; Kalamata are 8th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.