GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 6Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium

Asteras Tripolis

12th · 6 pts

2–1FULL TIME

Atromitos

13th · 5 pts

29% Asteras

26% Draw

45% Atromitos

OUR PICK

Atromitos to win

Model probability 45% · fair odds

2.24

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.43

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X213.45X3.7922.24

Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86

Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.39

Over 1.5

72%

Over/Under 2.5@1.86

Under 2.5

54%

Both teams to score@1.97

51%

Double chance@1.36

74%

Season stats

Asteras TripolisAtromitos

0.9Goals per game1.1

1.9Conceded per game1.5

0.67Points per game0.63

11%Win rate13%

-9Goal difference-3

5Form, last 5 (pts)4

Asteras Tripolis form

LLDLW

A PAOK2–1

H Kifisia0–2

H Levadiakos0–0

A Panathinaikos5–1

H Atromitos2–1

Atromitos form

WWLL

H Volos NFC3–0

A Volos NFC1–3

A Aris Thessalonikis3–1

A Asteras Tripolis2–1

Head to head

Asteras

Draw

Atromitos

Oct 2026Asteras Tripolis – Atromitos2–1

May 2026Asteras Tripolis – Atromitos4–2

Apr 2026Atromitos – Asteras Tripolis2–1

Feb 2026Asteras Tripolis – Atromitos1–2

Nov 2025Atromitos – Asteras Tripolis0–1

Super League 1 table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Panathinaikos9+1624

2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122

3PAOK9+618

4AEK Athens FC8+1617

5Aris Thessalonikis9-416

6OFI9+216

7Kifisia9-211

8Kalamata9-411

9Iraklis 19089-210

10Panetolikos9-99

Match preview

Our model makes Atromitos slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.24 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.10 for Asteras Tripolis, 1.43 for Atromitos), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Asteras Tripolis sit 12th on 6 points; Atromitos are 13th on 5.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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