Over 1.5 goals@1.60
Over 1.5
63%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 5Tuesday, 13 October 2026
ASO Chlef
14th · 4 pts1–1FULL TIME
MC Alger
6th · 13 pts12% ASO
24% Draw
64% MC
OUR PICK
MC Alger to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
0.52 – 1.60
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X218.52X4.1221.56
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.55
Both scoreGG2.95NG1.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.55
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.48
NG
68%
Double chance@1.13
X2
88%
Season stats
ASO ChlefMC Alger0.9Goals per game1.4
1.6Conceded per game0.2
0.50Points per game2.60
0%Win rate80%
-6Goal difference6
3Form, last 5 (pts)13
ASO Chlef form
LDDDH ES Setif1–2
H MB Rouisset1–1
A Témouchent1–1
H MC Alger1–1
MC Alger form
WWWLH Khenchela2–0
A US Biskra0–1
H Enugu Rangers3–0
A Enugu Rangers2–0
Head to head
0
ASO
4
Draw
1
MC
Oct 2026ASO Chlef – MC Alger1–1
Jun 2026MC Alger – ASO Chlef2–0
Jan 2026ASO Chlef – MC Alger0–0
Jun 2025ASO Chlef – MC Alger0–0
Dec 2024MC Alger – ASO Chlef0–0
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1CR Belouizdad7+517
2JS Kabylie7+816
3MC Oran7+515
4USM Alger7+514
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8Témouchent8-39
9ES Setif7+28
10JS El Biar808
Match preview
Our model makes MC Alger clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.52 for ASO Chlef, 1.60 for MC Alger), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
ASO Chlef sit 14th on 4 points; MC Alger are 6th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.