Over 1.5 goals@1.48
Over 1.5
67%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 8Friday, 30 October 2026
ASO Chlef
14th · 4 pts1–2FULL TIME
ES Setif
8th · 8 pts29% ASO
28% Draw
43% ES
OUR PICK
ES Setif to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.30
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.31
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.48X3.5922.30
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.69
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.87
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.87
NG
54%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
ASO ChlefES Setif0.9Goals per game1.3
1.6Conceded per game1.0
0.50Points per game1.14
0%Win rate29%
-6Goal difference2
3Form, last 5 (pts)8
ASO Chlef form
LDDDH ES Setif1–2
H MB Rouisset1–1
A Témouchent1–1
H MC Alger1–1
ES Setif form
WLDA ASO Chlef1–2
H Témouchent1–2
H JS Kabylie1–1
Head to head
1
ASO
1
Draw
3
ES
Oct 2026ASO Chlef – ES Setif1–2
Mar 2026ASO Chlef – ES Setif1–0
Oct 2025ES Setif – ASO Chlef1–1
Apr 2025ASO Chlef – ES Setif0–1
Nov 2024ES Setif – ASO Chlef1–0
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1JS Kabylie7+816
2MC Oran7+515
3USM Alger7+514
4CR Belouizdad6+414
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8ES Setif7+28
9JS El Biar808
10Ben Aknoun708
Match preview
Our model makes ES Setif slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.30 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.01 for ASO Chlef, 1.31 for ES Setif), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
ASO Chlef sit 14th on 4 points; ES Setif are 8th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.