Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
72%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Len Clay Stadium
Ashanti Gold
6th · 14 pts1–1FULL TIME
Asante Kotoko
9th · 13 pts48% Ashanti
26% Draw
26% Asante
OUR PICK
Ashanti Gold to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.09
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.03
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.09X3.8423.82
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.99
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.99
NG
50%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
Ashanti GoldAsante Kotoko1.3Goals per game1.1
1.1Conceded per game1.1
1.56Points per game1.44
44%Win rate33%
2Goal difference0
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Ashanti Gold form
WDLWLA Swedru All Blacks1–2
H Asante Kotoko1–1
A Aduana Stars1–0
H Samartex1–0
A Heart of Lions3–2
Asante Kotoko form
DDWLWH Medeama1–1
A Ashanti Gold1–1
H Young Apostles2–1
A Swedru All Blacks1–0
H Karela1–0
Head to head
0
Ashanti
3
Draw
2
Asante
Oct 2026Ashanti Gold – Asante Kotoko1–1
Jun 2022Ashanti Gold – Asante Kotoko1–1
Jan 2022Asante Kotoko – Ashanti Gold3–1
Jun 2021Asante Kotoko – Ashanti Gold1–0
Jan 2021Ashanti Gold – Asante Kotoko0–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama9+718
2Samartex9+518
3Hearts of Oak9+617
4Aduana Stars9+416
5Port City9+415
6Ashanti Gold9+214
7Swedru All Blacks9+214
8Bechem United9+113
9Asante Kotoko9013
10Basake Holy Stars9-412
Match preview
Our model makes Ashanti Gold slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.09 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.49 for Ashanti Gold, 1.03 for Asante Kotoko), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ashanti Gold sit 6th on 14 points; Asante Kotoko are 9th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.